In 1988 the NDP was at 40% but it did not hold and they ended up with 43 seats. There was a very large turnout in the advance polls.This was during the period of the NDP surge. Will the Liberals be able to turn out their base? More than 800,000 did not vote in the last election. They need a large turnout if they are to contend. Many "experts" see the NDP winning over 100 seats and being in a position to form a minority government with Libreral support. They have to win in B.C and Saketchewan and Manitoba to get there. That means they will take seats away from the Ref/Cons. This is possible.
The Bloc is panicking and their raising the issue of Quebec sovreignty is not helping. It would seem as if they have ridden this horse for the last time. They have little else to offer and they will pay a price and even Parizeau and his "lobster trap" will not suffice. Chretien and Martin are trying to shore up the Liberals and this may work, especiallyamong the ethnic communiyies.
It is time for the Liberals and the NDP to begin the process of a merger. Thr Reform/ Canadian Alliance and the Conservatives have merged the Right successfully, so a merging of the Left is necessary or they will continue to split the vote and allow the Ref/ Con to continue to form minority governments, as happened in the Free Trade election of 1988, where a split of the anti-free trade votes allowed Mulroney to win a majority with barely 40% of the votes.
The next few days will be crucial. Can Ignatieff pull a "stunner". He will have to reclaim the votes that have gone to the NDP and get their base out in large numbers, or it will be his end as leader of the Liberals. Turner did it in 1988 winning 88seats, up from 43 in 1984.
Many voters have "parked" their votes with the NDP, and I see them coming back to the Liberals...Shades of 1988.
5%
The Bloc is panicking and their raising the issue of Quebec sovreignty is not helping. It would seem as if they have ridden this horse for the last time. They have little else to offer and they will pay a price and even Parizeau and his "lobster trap" will not suffice. Chretien and Martin are trying to shore up the Liberals and this may work, especiallyamong the ethnic communiyies.
It is time for the Liberals and the NDP to begin the process of a merger. Thr Reform/ Canadian Alliance and the Conservatives have merged the Right successfully, so a merging of the Left is necessary or they will continue to split the vote and allow the Ref/ Con to continue to form minority governments, as happened in the Free Trade election of 1988, where a split of the anti-free trade votes allowed Mulroney to win a majority with barely 40% of the votes.
The next few days will be crucial. Can Ignatieff pull a "stunner". He will have to reclaim the votes that have gone to the NDP and get their base out in large numbers, or it will be his end as leader of the Liberals. Turner did it in 1988 winning 88seats, up from 43 in 1984.
Many voters have "parked" their votes with the NDP, and I see them coming back to the Liberals...Shades of 1988.
5%
