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Presidential Elections, Nov. 6, 2012

10/24/2012

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     Phew, it's almost over, but horrors of horrors, it begins anew in a few weeks time. Elections have always been bruising and dirty, some more than others, but this one with its vicious, personal attacks on Pres. Obama on his citizenship, on his faith and on his patriotism has been particularly so ( Romney was also savaged but it was by the other Republican candidates). This has been as a result of the Tea Party and the Super-pacs, who could not abide by the fact of a second term for Obama. This would be too much to swallow, because it would throw out all the negatives about the ability and skills and competence of African-Americans and other minorities (Latinos). Failure by Pres. Obama woild  set back African-Americans and other minorities by at least a dozen years or more and re-enforce the mind-set of those haters and dividers, the racists amongst us who have denigrated and persecuted non-whites for so long. Their worst nightmares are about to happen because there are more fair-minded, open and "accepting" people out there who are willing to stand up and be counted. Not all who oppose Obama are "haters and dividers". There are many, the great majority, who genuinely reject his vision and policies and, that is good. A democracy thrives on constructive opposition. It is the collision of "truths" that lead to a better world, but not when it is poisoned by lies, character assissination, hate and vitriol for the sake of vitriol.
     According to the national polls, the election is a dead heat, but this is not a national election. It is a nation-wide election, in which the fifty states and the District of Columbia each go to the poll and vote their choice. Whoever wins in each state wins that states Electoral College votes. It is not the candidate  with the most votes nationally that wins but the one that wins at least 270 electoral college vote. For example, if Obama wins California, he gets the 55 votes of California and if Romney wins Texas, he gets the 38 Texas electoral college votes.
     Each state's electoral votes is equivalent to the number of senators (2), plus the number of members of the House of Representatives (53 in the case of California = 55 votes). So after the election in each state,, the vote is tallied up and the winner gets that states electoral votes eg. New York, 29 , 2 +27. You then add it all up and the candidate who gets 270 wins the presidency.
     There are 538 electoral college votes, made up of 100 from the Senate (each state has two senators, California as well as Maine. Size does not matter,.Each is equal here). There are 435 from the House of Re[preentatives, here it is Representation by population. The larger states eg. Texas (2+36) gets more than Rhode Island (2+1=3). The District of Columbia has 3 votes (no senators, because it is not a state, but gets 3 Reps.). So that makes it 538 and 270 is the acceptable majority.
     Strategies are worked out to get that 270. Polls are regularly taken by political parties campaigns and decisions are made to target or not to target certain states with money, ads and actual campaigning. As the campaign goes on, this becomes more critical. Resources must be judiciously spent, so some states will be dropped as not winnable and others are heavily targeted and in some cases, those states where you are comfortably ahead sees less and less resources, so that they can be shifted to closely contested states, especially the "swing" states of Ohio, Michigan Florida, Colorado etc. In this respect campaigns are very fluid and decisions are made week by week , day by day. It requires thousands of foot-soldires, staffers, lawyers and managers with tens of millions of dollars. The  spending in this election is already over $1 billion and we have two weeks to go, when the  heaviest spending is required to blanket states with television/radio ads., social media, placards, leaflets and door -to door visits, with leaders/ candidates flying in and out. 
     The intensity is incredible and the attacks become more and more vociferous and vitriolic.  Pummelled and badgered the two candidates, straggle home, drained but hopeful  
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    fig 2-b My Father and Mother to whom I owe everything

    "Ecce Homo"  ("Behold the Man"), Antonio Ciseri's depiction of Pontius Pilate presenting a scourged Jesus to the people of Jerusalem.

    fig 1-b


    figure 1-a

    F. Goya
    Two men fighting with clubs
    circa 1819-1823

    The Black Paintings Period


    (Fig 2a) The Death of Innocents


    Author

     Ishwar R. Prashad recently retired from over 47 years of teaching.

    He taught Political Science variously at Dawson College, Loyola College, Algoma University College, Sir George Williams University, Concordia University and Vanier College.

    Previously, he taught for nine years in Port Mourant, Guyana.


    He became Principal of Corentyne Comprehensive High School at the tender age of 21. During this time he turned down Scholarship offers to study overseas in England and the U.S.S.R.

    He chose Canada and after graduating from Sir George Williams with a B.A Honours with Distinction, he accepted a Fellowship to complete his graduate work at McMaster University. He completed his first two degrees-Bachelors and Masters- in three years.  

    His last position was as Co-Ordinator of Political Science and Economics at Vanier College and Adjunct Professor of Political Science at Concordia University.

    He is married to the former Juliet Ramcharan (Library Supervisor, McGill University) and together they have three children – Indra R. Prashad, P.Eng. ,McGill (Presently Manager, Ontario Safe Water Drinking Agency), Ishwar R. Prashad Jr., B.A ,McGill (Presently, President, Kismit Gear Inc.) and Rabindra Y. Prashad, (Presently, Artist and Chef).They are the proud Grandparents of eight grandchildren-Miranda, Kamal, Ayesha, Élan, Anĵa , Étienne, Chloé, and Jasmine.

     

     

     





     



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