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Trump abroad

5/22/2017

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     He is the first American president to visit a Muslim state on his first trip abroad. This from a man who campaigned for a ban on Muslims and issued three such Executive Orders ( which the courts have struck down). He as also accused Saudi Arabia of the 9/11 attacks ( 15 of the attackers were from Saudi Arabia as was bin Ladin who received much financial support from elements in Saudi Arabia) and has constantly talked about "radical Islamic terrorists" ( he said Pres. Obama should resign for not using that term and also attacked Clinton on that).
     He was greeted warmly by the Saudis, in part because he signed an arms deal worth $109 billion and called on the Sunnis to act against Iran, (which had re-elected the moderate Rouhani to a second term) and the nuclear agreement ( even though his State Dept. has certified that Iran is respecting the deal.
     He was accompanied by his wife, Melania and his daughter, Ivanka who made a speech on women empowerment, from which women reporters were kicked out. She, Ivanka could have stood up but chose to stoop down, exposing her hypocrisy and the sham. She preferred her business but was quite willing to use the issue of women empowerment. The venality matches her father's.
     His next stop is Israel, where PM Netanyahu has forced all his ministers to show up to greet Trump ( news had leaked out that some of them were planning to boycott). The Israelis are angry about Trump leaking intelligence to the Russians that they provided to the US ( this was at the unprecedented meeting in the Oval Office with Russian Foreign Minister and also Ambassador, where Trump also joked about firing FBI Director Comey, and telling the Russians that that it was because of the pressure from the investigation of the alleged Russian hacking and interference in the last election, which has since led to the appointment of a special prosecutor, Moeller. The Israelis are very concerned about the arms deal, Trump signed with the Saudis. 
     The Israelis, especially Netanyahu want to curry favor with Trump, who they see as a strong ally, especially as he had promised ( during the campaign) to move the American Embassy to Jerusalem. He has backed down somewhat ( as he has done on a variety of other promises), so expect the treatment to be very good, but you can bet that they are going to get some " goodies" from Trump as a form of compensation.
     Trump will need all the goodwill and treatment, because his next stop is the  Pope, whom he insulted during the campaign and of whom the Pope has been very critical. This meeting will be cordial but not warm. 
     The real test will be Europe and the G-7 meeting. His anti-NATO, anti- European Union  and his pro- Brexit, pro Le Pen stances have been galling and relations have been tense ( also the visit of Merkel did not go well ). What will he say and how it will be received and the treatment in the media and in the streets, will define this visit.  
     The trip has ended. It was not a disaster but there were embarrassment and thuggery. He elbowed the leader of Montenegro out of the to get in front of the camera. He lectured the   heads of NATO, berating them for not paying their dues of 2% ( the 2% is for national defence spending not dues to NATO ( they were bemused, looking in askance at each other). He called the Germans "bad, bad ,bad", saying that he will limit car shipments ( most of the cars are made in US). He kept G-7 leaders waiting while he waited for a golf cart to take him to the photo-op. He also used the golf cart to go to the meeting in Sicily ( the others walked to the place of meeting). He ( privately) mused about leaving the Paris accord on climate change. He told the president of Israel ( when he was in Israel ) that he had just left the Middle East). He was admonished by Theresa May on intelligence leaks on Manchester bomb attack. He kept apart in Europe but cozied up with the tyrannical Saudis. He is back and tweeting about "fake news".    
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Macron/ France....Assembly Elections.

5/14/2017

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     Macron won easily with 64% of the votes. Now he needs to translate that into seats in the National Assembly and that will not be easy. Only a handful of seats are won on the 1st ballot and before the 2nd ballot, deals are struck. The parties of the Left will choose the best candidates to face off against the Right and Macron's En Marche ay be caught in the squeeze. He can prevent this by ensuring that enough of his candidates win enough votes to qualify for the 2nd round.
     The President of France has many powers, including choosing the Premier, the Cabinet, can dismiss the Premier, dissolve the National Assembly ( once a year) and rule by decree  also can declare a state of emergency. He dominates foreign policy and is the " national arbiter" to ensure the security and unity of the State ( Charles de Gaulle used all these powers in his 10 years, thus establishing the precedents and others have followed him).
     There is in The France the principle of " cohabitation", when the party in power in the National Assembly is different from that of the President ( Chirac had to work with the Socialists). This forces compromises and has worked in the past, but the President usually want free reins.
     The outcome of the election next week is not good for Macron. Many of those who voted for him did so to stop Marine Le Pen. Her support is solid and the only thing stopping her party from winning a large bloc of seats ( especially in the rural areas) is the "deals" to keep her out and some recent scandals with her replacement as leader. The Socialists did not support Macron and they see him as a traitor, so they will do all they can to deny him a majority. The Right are expected to rally around their party too. It will be a four-way contest and the likely outcome is " cohabitation".  
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    fig 2-b My Father and Mother to whom I owe everything

    "Ecce Homo"  ("Behold the Man"), Antonio Ciseri's depiction of Pontius Pilate presenting a scourged Jesus to the people of Jerusalem.

    fig 1-b


    figure 1-a

    F. Goya
    Two men fighting with clubs
    circa 1819-1823

    The Black Paintings Period


    (Fig 2a) The Death of Innocents


    Author

     Ishwar R. Prashad recently retired from over 47 years of teaching.

    He taught Political Science variously at Dawson College, Loyola College, Algoma University College, Sir George Williams University, Concordia University and Vanier College.

    Previously, he taught for nine years in Port Mourant, Guyana.


    He became Principal of Corentyne Comprehensive High School at the tender age of 21. During this time he turned down Scholarship offers to study overseas in England and the U.S.S.R.

    He chose Canada and after graduating from Sir George Williams with a B.A Honours with Distinction, he accepted a Fellowship to complete his graduate work at McMaster University. He completed his first two degrees-Bachelors and Masters- in three years.  

    His last position was as Co-Ordinator of Political Science and Economics at Vanier College and Adjunct Professor of Political Science at Concordia University.

    He is married to the former Juliet Ramcharan (Library Supervisor, McGill University) and together they have three children – Indra R. Prashad, P.Eng. ,McGill (Presently Manager, Ontario Safe Water Drinking Agency), Ishwar R. Prashad Jr., B.A ,McGill (Presently, President, Kismit Gear Inc.) and Rabindra Y. Prashad, (Presently, Artist and Chef).They are the proud Grandparents of eight grandchildren-Miranda, Kamal, Ayesha, Élan, Anĵa , Étienne, Chloé, and Jasmine.

     

     

     





     



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